The ADC Conundrum: Old Wine in a New Wineskin –By Matthew Ma

“In a political landscape where parties often reinvent themselves through flashy new logos, trendy names, and an endless repetition of familiar promises that have been trotted out time and again, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) emerges as a party that seems little changed, much like wine in an old wineskin.”

Forming a political party can be a constructive way to influence the direction of a nation. There are several compelling reasons why forming a political party can be advantageous. Firstly, it provides a platform to articulate and promote values, policies, and ideologies that existing parties may not adequately represent. Additionally, the emergence of new political parties enriches the democratic landscape by offering citizens genuine alternatives for their representation. This fosters competition, accountability, and responsiveness among political actors while also diminishing the dominance of a few entrenched parties and helping to combat authoritarian tendencies. Secondly, a political party plays a crucial role in mobilizing voters around pressing issues, educating citizens about their rights, responsibilities, and national policies, and encouraging political engagement, particularly among marginalized groups such as women, youth, and rural communities. This effort strengthens civic culture and enhances political literacy. Furthermore, even if a new party does not secure a victory in national elections immediately, it can still shape public discourse, influence legislation and policymaking, and serve as a constructive opposition that holds ruling parties accountable. Over time, it may evolve into a significant force in governance. In countries grappling with economic hardship, insecurity, or political exclusion, forming a political party can provide a peaceful and organized means of driving change, steering citizens away from apathy, violence, or unrest. It instills hope that transformation is achievable through legitimate means. Therefore, a political party serves as a training ground for leadership, mentoring future leaders who can operate with integrity, vision, and competence at all levels of government.

In Nigeria, the landscape of political parties often reveals a troubling trend: many organizations are established not around cohesive ideologies or principled platforms, but rather around the ambitions of individual leaders and their brand. This phenomenon suggests that the primary objective for these parties frequently revolves around the pursuit of power and the negotiation of political advantages, rather than a genuine commitment to serving the interests of the populace. Once these personal ambitions are achieved—or if they remain unfulfilled—the parties are often left to dissolve, or they may amalgamate with others in a bid to further individual agendas. This pattern underscores a perception of politics as more of a transactional business venture than a noble public service. Politicians and party leaders frequently view political engagement as a strategy to secure lucrative contracts, obtain influential appointments, or enhance their own standing within the political hierarchy. Moreover, the concept often referred to as “stomach infrastructure” politics highlights how loyalty among supporters is frequently secured through tangible incentives such as food, cash, or appealing promises, rather than through commitment to core principles or shared ideals. In this context, the political landscape becomes driven by immediate gratification and personal gain, overshadowing the essential responsibilities of leadership and the accountability owed to the citizens they are meant to represent.

The recent emergence of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) has left many Nigerians pondering whether it signifies a truly new political entity or is simply an old party rebranded. Initially founded in 2005 as the Alliance for Democratic Change by Ralph Nwosu, the party underwent a transformation and rebranding, ultimately receiving official recognition from the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) as the African Democratic Congress. Despite this rebranding and the formation of new coalitions, the current political landscape reveals that only two ADC lawmakers are serving in the Nigerian National Assembly, with the party lacking representation in the Nigerian Senate. As political dynamics evolve, citizens are raising important questions about the ADC: Is this party genuinely distinct with fresh ideas and approaches, or is it merely old wine in a new wineskin? Who are the members of the ADC coalition, and what are their prospects for success in the upcoming 2027 elections? Additionally, what specific policies does the party intend to advocate and implement moving forward?

Political analysts identify Mr. Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi as the two leading figures within the coalition. This recent alliance underscores their determination to secure another opportunity to lead Nigeria, marking Atiku’s fifth attempt to attain the highest office in the country. Since the return of democratic governance in Nigeria in 1999, Mr. Abubakar has participated actively in nearly every presidential election. However, despite his extensive experience and high-profile campaigns, he has yet to achieve victory, even in his home state and constituency, raising questions about the viability of his ambitions. Observers suggest that someone like Atiku should contemplate supporting an alternative candidate to consolidate efforts for a potential win. Nevertheless, his unwavering pursuit of power leads many to speculate that Mr. Abubakar is unlikely to step aside for another candidate. Many view his ambition as a sense of entitlement rooted in his long-standing involvement in Nigerian politics. In the previous presidential election cycle, Mr. Atiku chose not to endorse Mr. Peter Obi and instead ran for office himself. This decision not to step aside for another candidate ultimately contributed to the decline of both the People’s Democratic Party and the Labor Party. With the next election on the horizon, there is a prevailing belief that Mr. Atiku will again opt not to endorse Obi, instead focusing on his own campaign.

Mr. Peter Obi is a prominent Nigerian politician and businessman whom I greatly respect. He ventured into politics in 2003 as a member of the All-Progressive Grand Alliance (APGA) after enjoying a successful career as an entrepreneur. His political journey gained significant traction when he won the gubernatorial election in Anambra State in 2006. During his tenure, Obi’s governance was characterized by a commitment to fiscal responsibility and social reform, earning him considerable acclaim over the years. In 2022, he distinguished himself as the Labour Party’s candidate for the highly competitive 2023 Nigerian presidential election, marking a notable shift in his political aspirations. His leadership and reformist vision have garnered numerous accolades, including being recognized as Man of the Year by the Sun Newspaper in 2007. However, despite his impressive record of achievements and awards, Peter Obi faces a significant challenge in overcoming a trust deficit among many Nigerians. An important point to consider is his decision to depart from the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) after the party nominated Atiku Abubakar as its presidential candidate. Feeling that the PDP no longer aligned with his values and aspirations for the nation, Obi opted to join the Labour Party, seeking a platform that resonated more closely with his ideals. Now, fast forward to the present, and we see Mr. Obi and Atiku Abubakar reuniting within the same political arena, ostensibly to collaborate against a sitting president. This unexpected alliance raises significant questions about his integrity. Is he genuinely committed to rescuing Nigeria from its current challenges, or is this partnership primarily motivated by a desperate pursuit of political power?
David Alechenu Mark is a distinguished retired Nigerian military officer and veteran lawmaker, widely recognized for his extensive service and national leadership. He was commissioned in 1970 from the Nigerian Defense Academy and rose to the rank of Brigadier General. He served as Military Governor of Niger State from 1984 to 1986 and later as Minister of Communications from 1987 to 1990. Elected as Senator for Benue South in 1999, he was re-elected in 2003, 2007, 2011, and 2015, establishing himself as the longest-serving president of the Nigerian Senate. For quite a while now, David Mark has maintained a low profile, leading many, including me, to believe that he had stepped back from the political arena for good. His sudden reappearance, announcing his alignment with a new political platform, has taken me entirely by surprise and sparked a renewed interest in his political career. It is intriguing to see what motivated this change and how he plans to engage with the current political landscape after such a long absence. While I appreciate David Mark’s extensive political career, I find it difficult to pinpoint any significant contributions he has made to Benue State or Nigeria as a whole. His hometown, Otukpo, remains severely underdeveloped and lacks adequate infrastructure. Some may argue that he was not the state governor and therefore not responsible for implementing developments in his constituency. However, I disagree; his political stature should have been sufficient to drive progress in his area. As a prominent member of the PDP, I am also curious about the motivations behind his decision to leave the party that played a crucial role in his ascent to the Senate Presidency in favor of a new political platform. Therefore, he embodies an aged wine, rich in flavor and character, but presented in a fresh container that gives it a new lease of life.

Following his tenure as governor, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola has been appointed as the interim national secretary of the ADC. Before this role, he served as the Minister of Interior from 2019 to 2023, under the administrations of Presidents Muhammadu Buhari and Bola Tinubu. Aregbesola’s political journey is marked by a rich history of activism and public service, having emerged as a prominent figure in student politics during his university days and later participating in early reform movements aimed at bringing about significant changes in Nigeria’s political landscape. In early July 2025, the opposition coalition, now led by Atiku Abubakar, officially endorsed Rauf Aregbesola for the position of Interim National Secretary, with Senator David Mark stepping in as Interim National Chairman. This leadership restructuring is regarded as a vital step towards consolidating support and presenting a united front against the ruling party. However, Aregbesola’s appointment has not been met with unanimous approval. As we began to celebrate the coalition, internal conflicts emerged, particularly dissent from several members, including 2023 presidential candidate Mr. Dumebi Kachikwu and National Publicity Secretary Dr. Musa Matara, regarding the party’s decision to join the coalition. Several stakeholders within the ADC, particularly youth and women leaders, have expressed their discontent, arguing that the appointment of the party leadership was made in a top-down manner, lacking adequate internal dialogue or consultation. Additionally, party members also expressed concerns regarding the decision of the party chairman, Ralph Okey, and Secretary Alhaji Baba Abdullahi to step aside, paving the way for a leadership transition to the coalition’s Interim National Chairman, Senator David Mark, and Interim National Secretary, Rauf Aregbesola.

The coalition welcomed several notable personalities, including Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed, the running mate of Peter Obi; Aminu Waziri Tambuwal, the former Governor of Sokoto State; Liyel Imoke, the former Governor of Cross River State; and Babachir Lawal, the former Secretary to the Government of the Federation. Additionally, former members of the APC National Working Committee were present, including the former National Chairman, Chief John Odigie-Oyegun; former spokesman Malam Bolaji Abdullahi; former Caretaker National Secretary Senator John James Akpanudoedehe; and the former National Vice Chairman for the Northwest, Salihu Lukman. The gathering also showcased several prominent figures, including the former Minister of Transportation, Mr. Rotimi Amaechi; the former Attorney General and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami, SAN; and the former Minister of Sports, Mr. Solomon Dalung. Additional notable attendees included former Kaduna State Governor, Malam Nasir El-Rufai; retired General Tunde Ogbeha; former National Chairman of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), Uche Secondus; as well as former Governors Abdulfatah Ahmed of Kwara State and Jubrilla Bindow of Adamawa State; former Imo State Governor, Emeka Ihedioha; retired Air Marshal and former Chief of Air Staff, Sadique Baba Abubakar; Senator Ishaku Abbo; Senator Dino Melaye; Senator Ireti Kingibe, who represents the Federal Capital Territory (FCT); and activist Aisha Yesufu. The list also included the former Deputy Governor of Kogi State, Simon Achuba; former Edo State Governor, Professor Oserheimen Osunbor; Senator Lee Maeba; former Inspector General of Police, MD Abubakar; former Benue State Governor, Gabriel Suswan; Ovation publisher, Aare Dele Momodu; former presidential adviser, Kashim Imam; Senator Enyinnaya Abaribe; Dr. Mani Ibrahim; Ms. Lauretta Onochie; former Rivers Governor, Celestine Omehia; Maryam Inna Ciroma; Senator Aishatu Binani; former Kogi State Governor, Captain Idris Wada; former Deputy Governor of Ondo State, Agboola Ajayi; and Senator Victor Umeh.

The roster of individuals participating in this merger highlights a significant trend: a notable number of these figures have shifted between various political parties throughout their careers. This fluidity implies that there may be minimal substantive evolution in their core ideologies or approaches, prompting questions about their genuine commitment to any particular perspective. The list includes individuals who have firmly established themselves in the political arena, becoming notable figures recognized for their influence and actions over the years. These individuals, having adeptly navigated the complexities of politics, are now resurfacing in a new context that presents a fresh platform for their agendas. A complex and thought-provoking question surrounding the formation of this political alliance among seasoned leaders is: What compels these individuals to unite in pursuit of a shared objective? The answer lies in their motivations, which primarily revolve around a collective ambition to oust President Bola Ahmed Tinubu from power. This strategic collaboration among these political figures underscores a tactical maneuvering that suggests their focus is less on the urgent issues facing Nigeria and more on their political ambitions and the opportunity to challenge and dismantle the current administration. The alliance is more of a calculated effort to seize control than a genuine initiative aimed at addressing the pressing concerns of the Nigerian populace.

In light of these observations, it becomes clear that merely winning an election cannot be accomplished by simply rebranding the party or forming a new political entity. True success demands a more robust structural foundation that encompasses clear policies, a strong leadership vision, and an effective grassroots organization capable of engaging with voters on pressing social and economic issues. As we move closer to the critical 2027 elections, a significant question arises: Is the newly emerged Alliance for a Democratic Change (ADC) nothing more than a rebranded, polished version of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), or is it genuinely an extension of the PDP, intended to address its previous shortcomings? The answer to this question will likely unfold over the coming years as political dynamics evolve and the ADC seeks to carve out its identity in the competitive landscape of Nigerian politics. Only time will ultimately reveal the true nature and effectiveness of this political alliance.

In their first meeting, I expected the new political coalition to present its party manifesto to the public. This would be an opportunity for the alliance to articulate its vision and clearly outline how its policies and strategies differentiate it from other political entities in Nigeria. Instead of presenting a detailed manifesto that could illuminate their objectives, interim Chairman David Mark opted to emphasize a different narrative. He stressed the coalition’s commitment to removing President Tinubu from office in 2027. Mark’s focus on this objective suggests that the alliance is composed of disgruntled members seeking change. This raises important questions about the coalition’s priorities: while Nigeria grapples with severe issues such as pervasive poverty, rising unemployment, and a deteriorating security situation, the alliance’s primary goal appears to be one of political maneuvering. Specifically, it seems to be oriented towards dislodging President Tinubu from power rather than outlining a concrete plan to address the urgent social and economic challenges facing citizens. Their alliance places greater emphasis on ambition rather than a sincere dedication to rescuing the nation from socio-economic decline. Thus, in a political landscape where parties often reinvent themselves through flashy new logos, trendy names, and an endless repetition of familiar promises that have been trotted out time and again, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) emerges as a party that seems little changed, much like wine in an old wineskin. As they present themselves as newcomers in the arena, many Nigerians are left pondering a critical question: What makes the ADC different from other parties? Is the ADC truly a distinctive force for change, one that can offer innovative solutions to old problems, or is it merely repackaged rhetoric—old wine in a new skin? In the months ahead, the ADC’s ability to transform its noble rhetoric into action will be closely scrutinized. Will it translate the aspirations held by its supporters into practical policies and effective governance, or will it ultimately succumb to the same pitfalls that have historically undermined the promises of other political entities in Nigeria?

The growing presence of former politicians, political defectors, and influential power brokers within the ranks of the ADC raises significant concerns about the party’s purported freshness and innovation. Many of these individuals have previously held prominent positions in various mainstream political parties, indicating a tendency toward opportunism rather than a sincere commitment to change. They have expertly navigated the political landscape over the years, refining a form of “politics without policy.” Skilled in forging alliances that often lack a clear ideological foundation, these figures have repeatedly made promises that ultimately lack substantive support or integrity. This reflects a troubling trend in Nigeria’s political arena, where the cycle of disillusionment has become all too common for the electorate. As the ADC approaches a pivotal moment in its development, the coming months will be crucial in shaping public perception of the party. This period will serve as a vital litmus test for assessing whether the ADC has the potential to genuinely disrupt the entrenched cycle of disappointment that has long plagued Nigeria’s political landscape. Citizens will be observing closely to see if the ADC can resist the allure of replicating the empty assurances that have left many disenchanted and skeptical. Soon, Nigerians will determine whether the ADC is an actual vehicle for meaningful change or merely another political entity that preaches transformation while adhering to the familiar paths of compromise and political expediency. With high stakes involved, public scrutiny will be intense, making this a defining moment for the party and its aspirations.
Recent developments surrounding the formation of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) have sparked considerable backlash from various political figures. A prominent example comes from the faction of the Labor Party led by Julius Abure, which has publicly voiced its dissatisfaction by issuing a stern 48-hour ultimatum to Peter Obi to resign from the party. They are demanding his resignation from the Labor Party due to his controversial decision to join the newly established coalition. Abure and his supporters have vehemently criticized Obi, branding him a “political scam” and asserting that his actions betray the party’s core principles. Additionally, Nyesom Wike has weighed in on the ADC controversy. He has used charged language to characterize ADC members, labeling them as “buccaneers” and “vampires.” Wike’s remarks suggest that he views the ADC as a gathering of discredited and unsuccessful politicians who have failed in their previous endeavors. His comments reflect a broader sentiment among certain political circles that perceive the ADC as a coalition lacking legitimacy and credibility in the current political landscape.

Nigerians are not simply asking for the introduction of new names in the political landscape; they are advocating for a profound transformation in the way governance is approached and understood. It is a demand for leaders who prioritize accountability and integrity over mere popularity and charisma. The public is yearning for political parties that embody a visionary approach, one that transcends traditional frameworks and demonstrates a genuine commitment to progress and innovation, rather than merely adhering to established structures. Moreover, there is an intense desire for political platforms that actively engage the populace and mobilize citizens towards constructive participation in the democratic process, rather than recycling outdated ideologies and strategies that have failed in the past. This calls for an inclusive narrative that resonates with the aspirations of the Nigerian people and fosters genuine dialogue around their needs and aspirations. The critical question that arises in this context is whether the African Democratic Congress (ADC) can successfully reinvent itself as the dynamic and effective political entity it once envisioned becoming. Alternatively, will it fade into obscurity, ultimately becoming just another example of Nigeria’s long and complex history of political repackaging, where parties emerge, claim to symbolize change, yet fail to deliver substantive alternatives to the status quo? The outcome will significantly influence the future direction of Nigeria’s political journey.

The metaphor of old wine in a new wineskin serves as a poignant reminder of the inherent risks of superficial change, as highlighted by Jesus in the Gospels. This warning underscores a fundamental truth: simply introducing new structures or leadership without addressing the underlying issues will ultimately lead to failure and chaos. In the context of Nigeria, a nation grappling with numerous challenges, it is crucial to acknowledge that the country cannot afford to have more shattered vessels within its political landscape. Changing the container, or the political apparatus, is not sufficient on its own. The “wine,” representing the values, integrity, and commitment to service, must be renewed and revitalized. This new wine must be fresh, bold, and infused with a genuine spirit of service to the people. It should reflect honesty, transparency, and accountability—qualities that have often been lacking in political discourse and practice. Until a comprehensive transformation occurs at both the structural and ethical levels, the ADC and other political parties facing similar predicaments are likely to remain trapped in a cycle of missed opportunities. They risk squandering the great potential that exists within their constituencies due to the persistence of traditional political practices that prioritize personal gain over public service. In essence, without a genuine shift towards progressive values and an authentic dedication to the needs of the populace, the promise of effective governance will remain unfulfilled, and the nation will continue to suffer the consequences.

Rev. Ma, S. J., is a Jesuit Catholic priest of the North West Africa Province of the Society of Jesus. He currently writes from Abuja, Nigeria.