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Tensions Rise as US, Iran Brace for Possible War Amid Fragile Ceasefire
US-Iran ceasefire hangs in the balance as both nations issue warnings and question the future of planned peace negotiations.
Escalating rhetoric from the United States and Iran has raised fears of renewed conflict, as both sides signalled readiness for war while a temporary ceasefire edges toward expiration.
Uncertainty surrounds planned talks in Islamabad, which Donald Trump said would resume. The White House indicated Vice President JD Vance stood ready to travel for negotiations aimed at ending a war that has shaken the Middle East and global markets.
Tehran, however, has not confirmed participation and accused Washington of undermining the truce through its naval blockade and seizure of an Iranian-linked vessel.
“By imposing a blockade and violating the ceasefire, Trump wants to turn this negotiating table into a surrender table or justify renewed hostilities, as he sees fit,” said parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.
“We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats… we have been preparing to show new cards on the battlefield.”
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps escalated tensions further, warning it would target ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz without clearance—a vital route for global oil flows.
Trump has countered that Iran violated the ceasefire by harassing vessels in the same waters, insisting the US blockade was “absolutely destroying” Iran and would remain until a deal is reached on its nuclear programme.
“We agreed to be there,” Trump said of the Pakistan talks, cautioning that failure to extend the truce would mean “lots of bombs start going off.” He also signalled it was “highly unlikely” the ceasefire would be prolonged.
Despite cautious optimism reflected in falling oil prices and rising stock markets, uncertainty persists. In Tehran, residents described daily life as difficult, with economic strain worsening under the combined weight of sanctions and war.
At the same time, regional tensions remain high. A separate ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon is holding tenuously, with Hezbollah still active and new diplomatic talks scheduled in Washington.
As the ceasefire deadline looms, the prospect of diplomacy hangs in the balance against the risk of renewed and wider conflict.
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